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- <text id=92TT2915>
- <title>
- Dec. 28, 1992: Cambodia: The UN's Biggest Gamble
- </title>
- <history>
- TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1992
- Dec. 28, 1992 What Does Science Tell Us About God?
- </history>
- <article>
- <source>Time Magazine</source>
- <hdr>
- SOUTEAST ASIA, Page 30
- CAMBODIA: The UN's Biggest Gamble
- </hdr><body>
- <p>The peace-keepers--a huge commitment in manpower and money--are caught in a cross fire as they struggle to resurrect
- a country
- </p>
- <p>By William Shawcross/Phnom Penh
- </p>
- <p>[William Shawcross is the author of Sideshow, an important
- 1979 book on Cambodia.]
- </p>
- <p> In the small town of Snoul in eastern Cambodia, along an
- invasion route from Vietnam, people have been lining up
- patiently outside an old building newly painted in blue. Inside
- they are photographed and interviewed by a voter-registration
- team to make sure they were born in Cambodia or have at least
- one Cambodian parent. Personal data, photograph and signature
- are recorded on a card that will entitle the bearer to vote in
- elections the U.N. is hoping to hold next May.
- </p>
- <p> In towns and villages through much of Cambodia, millions
- of people have been repeating this process over the past few
- weeks. Their participation is one of the signal successes in an
- unprecedented and fragile experiment carried out by a huge
- international presence known as the United Nations Transitional
- Authority in Cambodia, or UNTAC.
- </p>
- <p> Understanding Cambodia has always seemed like trying to
- put together a three-dimensional jigsaw of morality, politics
- and geography. Some pieces are missing, some are scuffed and
- torn beyond recognition, some bent completely out of shape; a
- few fit nowhere at all. The picture appears to show a maze
- through which the country has been stalked by successive
- monsters: a coup followed by brutal civil war, careless U.S.
- policies, strategic bombing, a Marxist revolution so bloody that
- it came to be called autogenocide, international and regional
- power politics, liberation and occupation by a hated neighbor,
- famine, decay and renewed civil war.
- </p>
- <p> Now Cambodia is in the midst of the strangest phase of all--and the only one that could be said to have benign intent.
- Over the past few months, under the banner of the U.N., the
- devastated country has been inundated by 20,000 men and women
- from all over the world, equipped with white cars, white trucks,
- white planes and white helicopters. They are charged with giving
- Cambodia something it has never had--democracy--along with
- something it has not known for 22 years--peace.
- </p>
- <p> For Cambodia, the U.N. plan is the last, best hope to
- escape the maze. For the U.N., it is a test case of whether the
- world organization can adapt to the new demands of the post-cold
- war world. As Claude Cheysson, a senior member of the European
- Parliament, said recently in Phnom Penh, "UNTAC must not fail.
- It cannot fail." But what constitutes success?
- </p>
- <p> The town of Snoul is a microcosm of the U.N.'s gamble. It
- is a poor place: pigs and cows root around the market; many of
- the goods on sale have come across the border from Vietnam. The
- town was destroyed during the American invasion of 1970; nine
- years later, Vietnamese tanks and trucks roared along the rutted
- dirt road as they invaded Cambodia to liberate it from the Khmer
- Rouge and establish an occupation that would last 10 years.
- </p>
- <p> Now U.N. peacekeepers are the occupiers. The electoral
- process they oversee is impressive. Near Angkor Wat, Sajjad A.
- Gul, a Pakistani, says Cambodians have told him they really do
- want to vote--though some of them wish they could vote for
- UNTAC. As of mid-December, UNTAC officials could take
- satisfaction from the fact that 4 million of an estimated 4.5
- million prospective voters had been registered.
- </p>
- <p> Many of the remainder are inaccessible because they live
- in areas controlled by the Khmer Rouge. Since they withdrew
- last June from the peace process that they had accepted in the
- Paris agreement of October 1991, they have refused to allow
- UNTAC electoral teams into their areas, sabotaging some of the
- principal ambitions of the U.N. plan--the disarming of
- factions and nationwide elections. Hun Sen, the Prime Minister
- of the Vietnam-backed administration in Phnom Penh, says that
- "the Paris agreement is no longer balanced. It is like a
- handicapped person." But while accepting some UNTAC
- requirements, his administration also harasses the U.N. effort.
- </p>
- <p> In the shade of the UNTAC umbrella, there is a heartening
- political spring in Cambodia. Alongside several brave Cambodian
- groups, UNTAC is promoting human-rights ideas. At least 14
- political parties have sprung up to contest the election,
- including one with the Stars and Stripes as its symbol. Hun
- Sen's ruling communists have renamed themselves the Cambodian
- People's Party, but find it hard to escape their Marxist,
- pro-Vietnamese history or reputation for corruption and
- brutality. Their principal competitor is the nationalist,
- anticommunist party founded by Prince Norodom Sihanouk, the
- country's former ruler.
- </p>
- <p> The party claims that its supporters are harassed,
- intimidated, even killed; most observers in Phnom Penh believe
- Hun Sen's administration is behind the attacks. Hun Sen denies
- that. Although he is an authoritative figure who will no doubt
- hold a senior position in any postelection coalition, his power
- is limited by hard-line communists within his government and a
- security apparatus not entirely under his control.
- </p>
- <p> Though they have withdrawn from the peace process and the
- elections, the Khmer Rouge recently announced a new political
- party, the National Unity of Cambodia Party. It is headed by
- Khieu Samphan, long presented as the "acceptable" face of the
- Khmer Rouge. Pol Pot, their notorious leader, directs their
- campaign unseen from near the Thai border. If their party did
- take part in the elections, it would probably win several seats.
- It is important--if shocking--to realize that the Khmer
- Rouge do have support in Cambodia. Some people see them as
- nationalists and incorrupt--but there is no reason to believe
- they have changed their brutal and absolutist policies.
- </p>
- <p> Cambodia's central drama is that it is a small country of
- 9 million people, overshadowed by two large and threatening
- neighbors: 65 million Thais to the north and west, 70 million
- Vietnamese to the east. For centuries both have coveted,
- infiltrated, invaded and otherwise tried to exploit Cambodia;
- their ambitions and the resulting fears among Cambodians still
- dominate the country.
- </p>
- <p> The Paris agreement had several purposes. One was to
- remove a large barrier to U.S.-Soviet-Chinese detente. Another
- was to get the international community off the hook of
- recognizing the Khmer Rouge as the government of Cambodia;
- elections would in effect legitimize much of the pres ent
- administration in Phnom Penh in coalition with other parties.
- Equally important, the peace plan would separate the Khmer Rouge
- from China, their principal sponsor; in return for having its
- clients admitted to the political game in Phnom Penh, Beijing
- agreed to stop supplying them with weapons. Including the Khmer
- Rouge in a settlement was at the very least a distasteful as
- well as risky solution, but the alternative was more war, no
- international recognition for Cambodia and no chance of peace.
- </p>
- <p> Western diplomats believed that the process would wither
- the Khmer Rouge's power. What they failed to predict was the
- communists' ability to finance their own arms purchases from the
- sale of timber and gems in areas they control along the border
- with Thailand, which with Thai assistance they have savagely
- pillaged at great cost to the environment. The U.N. Security
- Council has imposed sanctions on the Khmer Rouge, to little
- avail.
- </p>
- <p> Pol Pot's forces are also threatening to destroy the peace
- process altogether by refusing to demobilize their 27,000
- fighters and allow UNTAC access to territory under their
- control. Their reason appears to be fear of UNTAC's liberating
- effect on their cadres and villagers. But their standard
- explanation is that they pulled out of the accord because UNTAC
- failed to insist on the withdrawal of all Vietnamese troops from
- Cambodia or to take control of the government in Phnom Penh, as
- required by the accord.
- </p>
- <p> There is no evidence that main-force Vietnamese units are
- still deployed in the country, but hundreds of thousands of
- Vietnamese, perhaps more than a million, are now there as
- traders, artisans, fishermen. Many of them are demobilized
- soldiers, suspected by some Cambodians of being part of a Hanoi
- fifth column. Vietnamese advisers are still believed to hold key
- positions in some ministries.
- </p>
- <p> For so complex and ambitious a program, the U.N. was
- lamentably slow in deploying UNTAC. Troops came piecemeal, and
- some were at first immobilized by lack of logistic support.
- Despite the large staff now in place, UNTAC has had difficulty
- asserting control over the Hun Sen administration. In the
- provinces, the handful of U.N. civil servants found themselves
- powerless in the face of entrenched local officialdom backed by
- all the government's resources, including police and troops.
- </p>
- <p> When the Khmer Rouge announced in June that they would not
- allow the U.N. into their areas, some U.N. officers wanted to
- call their bluff and dispatch forces into the territory. But
- force commander Lieut. General John Sanderson felt such pressure
- might destroy the peace process, and most of the countries that
- had contributed troops would not let them be sent into battle
- against the Khmer Rouge. The disagreement highlighted a U.N.
- dilemma: When should peacekeeping become peace enforcing--perhaps with the loss of peacekeepers' lives?
- </p>
- <p> The Khmer Rouge have expanded their areas of influence
- since Paris. Their intransigence is clearly visible in Kompong
- Thom province, on the northeastern shore of the Great Lake, one
- of the most tense regions in the country. Last July three U.N.
- military observers were based in the village of Kraya, where the
- Khmer Rouge were infiltrating men and supplies down from
- Thailand. The local Khmer Rouge commander, General Men Ron, told
- the observers to "get out or I will kill you." The three men
- were withdrawn and did not return to Kraya until the end of
- September. Since then, Men Ron has refused to discuss any
- problems with them, always answering, "There are Vietnamese in
- the country. I will not deal with UNTAC." The Khmer Rouge have
- detained UNTAC observers on three occasions.
- </p>
- <p> Khmer Rouge patrols have also been entering villages
- nominally controlled by Hun Sen's administration, tearing down
- election posters and confiscating radios. Recently, Khmer Rouge
- cadres in one district made villagers hand over their
- registration cards and cut them in two, keeping the half bearing
- the name. The message was terrifyingly clear. Still, U.N.
- observers believe the Khmer Rouge to be a much weaker force than
- generally assumed--capable of terrorism but unable to mount
- large-scale assaults.
- </p>
- <p> The animosity among the factions is evident in the Supreme
- National Council. Meetings have not been easy, and Sihanouk, in
- poor health, has become weary. For the past few weeks he has
- been in Beijing complaining about the behavior of some of the
- factions. He has warned that unless both Hun Sen and UNTAC act
- vigorously "against the poisoning of the political atmosphere,
- social injustice and political terrorism," he will stop
- cooperating with them.
- </p>
- <p> Some commentators have already written off UNTAC. They
- argue that the Paris agreement as such is dead, that UNTAC has
- failed to create secure conditions for elections, that too
- little has been done to de-mine the country and that there has
- been virtually no progress in economic rehabilitation. Donors
- pledged $880 million for Cambodia at a conference in Tokyo in
- June, but almost none of the money has arrived. If the economy
- functions at all, it is because Cambodia is still a country of
- subsistence farmers and fishermen.
- </p>
- <p> But UNTAC also has notable achievements. The electoral
- process is, so far, a remarkable success. The human-rights
- component is spreading important ideas. The original mission of
- the U.N. troops, to monitor the demobilization and disarming of
- the factions, has been abandoned, but some of the soldiers are
- bringing public health and other services to villagers. The U.N.
- High Commissioner for Refugees has been much more successful
- than expected in repatriating most of the 350,000 Cambodian
- refugees from along the Thai border.
- </p>
- <p> If, despite the growing threats from the Khmer Rouge and
- Hun Sen's regime, the election can be brought off in most of
- the country, UNTAC will have given Cambodians a chance to move
- toward more representative government. The best outcome would
- appear to be a coalition between Hun Sen and the anticommunists
- under the state presidency of Prince Sihanouk. Some UNTAC
- officials suggest the inclusion of one or two Khmer Rouge in the
- interests of achieving real "national reconciliation."
- </p>
- <p> But the election is only the middle of the maze, and the
- road ahead remains obscure and perilous. A U.N. presence must
- be maintained to offer continued security against political
- terror from all sides. International aid must continue for
- years. A national army will have to be built, in the hope that
- die-hard Khmer Rouge elements can finally be defeated, and then
- tried.
- </p>
- <p> In the long term, the success or failure of the UNTAC
- investment will hinge on international concern and on whether,
- at last, Cambodian political leaders can cooperate with goodwill
- to address the underlying problems of their country. Yasushi
- Akashi, the personable Japanese who heads UNTAC, points out that
- UNTAC "cannot force Cambodians to be free." The international
- community and UNTAC need to be steadfast if Cambodians are
- finally to have the chance.
- </p>
-
- </body></article>
- </text>
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